To UNDERSTAND alt-history you must understand a bit of quantum physics, and its probabilistic paths that might either collapse waves into particles or scatter them.
Those 2 solutions of entropy=death or social evolution ARE the general solutions of all organic systems that multiply and either become a stronger super organism or die into scattered wave of hate that feeds other super organism.
So happens to history: there are 2 solutions to the wave paradox of metal -memes vs. human memes, and multiple fractal histories happening in similar planets with different paths towards r=evolution or extinction. In the graphs from the 92 book, we see the duality depending on which memes each carbon life species chooses.
Yet while the final goal – a super organism of history or one of metal are similar, the paths of history to reach that goal are multiple in between the 2 solutions. And those are the alternative Histories we can think of – what would have happened if Alexander had conquered India and fusion all the Buddhist and Aristotelian memes rising the height of the human organic cultures well above what would become its inverse devolution by the revivalism of Abrahamic religions and animetal go(l)d memes?
What would have happened if Philip II had moved the capital of the Iberian empire to Lisbon and kept the jewish bankers that would destroy the empire from Amsterdam and The City? Would a Latin World empire had stopped for the sake of life the machine on time? Would a Buddhist Greek civilization had reached a golden mean balance with Gaia?
What would have happened if the Neanderthal had not crossed with the verbal man, and imposed its visual axis with its emotional irrational obsession with go(l)d visual hypnotism? What would have happened in a planet without the Scandinavian Germanic peninsula, or the British coal-iron big Island? Are all planets of history similar identical Bose particles within the organism of the galacell, bond to repeat history and end up in the singularity events? And so on and so on.
All those variations of alt-history in the fractal paradigm means infinite relative planets where life survived.
All of them are self-similar solutions varying only in a few details but the type of culture achieved, humanist or mechanical are the 2 only possible outcomes:
Most lead to one solution, extinction through one of the 3 singularity points of the metal earth, a strangelet/black hole (dominant solution); a metal-bacteria (second solution), a terminator planet (less likely) and a human avatar-like planet where biohistorians take over (preferred solution).
As it is this planet seems to walk steady towards the most likely dominant solution: a black hole or strangelet cosmic bomb.
It seems human survival is not a solution as the homunculus is completely immersed in the matrix of the metal earth and its childish idologies of reality will drive him there.
So where to find humanist solutions? In other fractal planets of the Universe, which understand the arrow of absolute future, of social evolution and Avatar-like become a single global super organism leaving behind the memeplex of animetal idologies that drive us to extinction:
In the left the solution chosen by the ‘you gold’ ‘military germ’ and brutish mechanics memes of our ego centered human civilization, drives finally into self-extinction by AI, BH bombs or iron nano-bacteria the planet. In the right the humanist social solution.
To understand it you need to understand the two different behaviours of ‘time cycles’ in the Universe, expressed in the next graphs – the arrow of absolute future, or arrow of social evolution towards larger super organisms, which is the dominant arrow of the Universe; or ‘arrow of lineal time’; and the arrow of cyclical zero-time, which seems different in its detailed paths, but ends in the same finale – extinction of man by lack of social evolution:
In the graph, absolute and relative timespace. Absolute timespace is the fifth dimension as wholes come after parts, evolution selects wholes and so the arrow of wholes dilates time adding ±scales, as each whole will be ‘grounded’ on a smaller part. I.e. a bigger whole will feed in entropic smaller beings, whales in plankton, galaxies in light space-time, Universes in dark entropy… Below the arrows of relative time, as all life-existences are zero-sums which return to its origin.
In the graph, the arrows of lineal time and cyclical time in the Universe. Lineal time grows on the long term social wholes from smaller parts, creating larger super organisms of history. Cyclical time, might vary in its ‘quantum paths’, and details but ends always in the ‘death’ of the system, back to its entropic state; as the system fails to reach immortality transcending into a new social organism, fit to survive.
As human history is failing in the organisation of mankind as a super organism, but machines are far reaching that future, it seems in this planet we shall not reach the goal of immortality.
Thus two different outcomes then happen in Alt-History:
- Paths of History which end in the same zero-sum future, the extinction of man with alternative ‘tribal histories’ where a nation might make a bigger empire by individual decisions, but as all humans are guided by tribal idol-ogies of metal, military nationalisms, capitalist go(l)d religions and mechanist techno-utopians, it doesn’t really matter if it is England or Spain who controls the world empires; or Japan or USA colonises the west, etc. All of them will evolve finally the three weapons of the singularity age that extinguishes life, because none of them accepted:
- Social evolution of History into a larger whole. This alternative history means the victory of one of the prophets of eusocial love and the creation of a global super organism of mankind. And so here alt-histories might also vary but all save humanity. It doesn’t then matter if we are all Christians, or we are all Buddhist or we are all Muslims or we are all Socialists or we are all UNO nations or we all belong to the rainbow planet – the last social solution narrated in this blog. All those alt-histories evolve a loving mankind into a single God=Humanity with different ‘memetic variations’ of the same theme: ‘love each other as the prophet=scientist of future history has told you’, Amen.
Let us consider some examples of both types of alt-history.
Extinctive alt-histories. Alternative military empires.
In the graph, alt-history gives a lower probability to the paths of History of mankind, yet in ‘complex time’, the two arrows of future are possible, and so there are infinite other planets in which alternative paths of history are taken.
It is a tenant of general systems science that the Universe is a fractal of self-similar forms of information that repeat ad nauseam in all the scales of the Universe.
Alt-history thus is born of such thesis; as there should be in the infinite galaxies and planets of the Cosmos, infinite self-similar geographies with slight variations, similar to the Feynman paths of a quantum wave, scattered in its motion towards the same ‘zero-sum end’, of a cycle of life and death of a super organism of history.
Thus Alt-Histories are happening in infinite other planets – a thesis first posited by Giordano Brunno, which burned at the stakes for it.
In such ALT-histories there are then many planets, where humanist histories beat the fundamentalist animetal cultures of this one, where we seem to have no way out of a future metal-earth after the incoming age of robotic wars.
Let us see some examples of those different solutions:
Japan’ s global empire, substitutes UK as father of the modern world.
For example, from a question at Quora I answered on a possible alt-history, in which Japan NOT Russia or USA, conquers most of the Northern hemisphere.
If Japan had declared war on the USSR instead of attacking Pearl Harbor could the Axis have won the war?
Before invading China, the discussion was on the table. And the true wonder about japan in fact is WHY it didn’t invade siberia as it was the logic move and Japan was fiercely anti-communist and his ideology was ‘Pan-Asian’: expulsion of Europeans from the ‘mongoloid, vital space’. Plus it had won already a war to Russia easily in 1905 for the same reasons: closer logistics to neighbour siberia.
IT was thus easy for Japan to take from Harbin the transiberian in a blitzkrieg to Novosibirsk, reaching the Obi and regaining the ‘Asian’ land of his ‘Altai forebears’, to create a huge empire: by taking Mongolia, Manchuria, Sajalin (with gas and oil fields a few miles from Honshu), and the whole empty East Siberia.
It was in fact the preferred solution of the army but the emperor preferred Tojo; the police boss, who wanted an absurd war against China – too many people, zero resources, as those of manchuria were already taken, and then took over USA, the factory of the world. So it was a huge strategic BLUNDER, born of the Japanese ‘inferiority complex with mainland – the Korean and Chinese culture’… his emperor for millennia had disputed the supremacy of the throne of the central kingdom, and the navy’s astounding arrogance.
The infamous Tojo, of Unit 731, wanted to be also a war hero, and won the favor of the emperor over the army, with a much sounder plan of war. He was not even a soldier, despised by the army, in a parallel case to that of the animosity between the SS and the Wehrmacht – when his time came he showed his cowardice refusing a painful Harakiri- shooting himself in a shameful act against the Bushido code.
Then, of course, USA would have not entered the war in Europe as it was isolationist and Germany might have won the war against a crippled Russia, without the Siberian retreat, and with two fronts as Japan would have advanced further to the Urals – the ultimate Asian border.
All the answers here are in that sense biased by the western strain of ‘exceptionalism’. So they assume the argument happening latter, after invading China and even some after Pearl Harbor, which is nonsense. Of course with 3 fronts Japan would have lost. But the REAL argument happened before invading China, which was the Tojo alternative to taking Sajalin and east siberia.
Irkutsk was on the corner of Manchuria, but thousands of miles from Moscow. And in the earlier 30s the red army was in shambles as Stalin had killed all his Trotsky’s officers. It took them a decade to rebuild it… with German help.
The Gol battle quoted above happened in 1939, when all the army was engaged in China. In 1932, when the argument was put on the table, and the army favoured Siberia against the navy view, it was a sure victory. A surprise attack on the transiberian would have mean the fall of Irkutsk in three days, by the time the news arrived to Moscow… hundreds of thousands of Japanese would have taken krasnoyarsk and offer peace before the Russians had any chance to organise resistance in an empty land – the left-behind pocket of Vladivostok surrounded.
The first and only battle would have taken place in Novosibirsk, if Russia had responded swiftly; and so the Obi river would have been the truce border.
The russian revolution was pragmatic. Without a working army till the training of new stalinist officers and a massive plan of rearmament latter in the decade MADE with the help of the Nazis, in exchange for building also german tanks and planes to circumvent the ally’s prohibition, in 1932 they had no chance. And would have willingly signed off East Siberia, as they gave away, western russian at Brest-Litovsk. The ‘Novosibirsk’ peace of 1934, in ‘Alt-History’, perhaps happening in ∞ other fractal planets of the Universe, would have made Japan and Siberia one – given the fact that the Japanese ethnic group comes from Siberia, via Korea (Altai->Manchu->korean languages), and Asians received them as liberators, a common ideology of ethnic Manchurian unity would have easily solidify the pride of the new empire.
But Japanese, which used to be called wo-ku, ‘dwarf pirates’, by the Chinese, had the celestial empire’s superior culture as their obsessive reference. So they made the same mistake that in the XVII century, when after copying the Portuguese, became the leading musket producers of the world after Spain in decline. So their right choice was to invade the American west, easily reached with the kuroshio current, just discovered by Urdaneta, or Philippines, south, on the route to Australia (called then ‘java la grande’) and take over those empty lands, soon-to-be filled with their 30 million people.
The Spaniards knew it, and feared it, writing about the amazing numbers of Japanese, their craftsmanship with weapons, higher precision of their ‘tanegashima’, dexterity with swords and bushido code; so they forbade further engagement, abandoning the ‘Kirishitan’ to his faith. Diplomatic letters showed panic when a Japanese boat arrived to Acapulco within years. Plans were drawn to build a border fort at Monterrey; as they had no hope of defending northern California, and were ready to retreat, which would have put the central valley on the hands of Japanese farmers, making North-America today, west of Missouri a part of Japan.
Then they wrote with relief and surprise when Hideyoshi launched the conquest of the Ming dynasty by way of Korea; ascribing rightly the strategic error to the enormous arrogance of this people, who ‘think their ruler is God’, and forecasted their defeat: ‘They have started the only war they can not win’…
But the ‘tragedies of history repeat because people don’t learn of their mistakes’ (Proust).
It is also vane the upvoted maximal answer – that they preferred to attack pearl harbour for ‘oil resources’. Sure, the Siberian resources are smaller than those of the ‘famous oil fields’ of honolulu (: Exploiting siberia would have made an american embargo both irrelevant and unlikely- as all would have applauded an attack on the communist revolution.
The emperor, who wanted to occupy the throne of the celestial empire, backed a ‘saddam hussein type’ rising from the Japanese GESTAPO, NOT the army, which was professional and would have never confronted US. But Tojo was a shrewd manipulator of his egolatric master; which we forgave and kept in power to subdue any possible evolution of Japan into a more social, r=evolutionary, republican, free, humanist culture, which is not – today forbidding even Asians to work there as cleaners and nurses, as they prefer robots to fill their tasks in an ominous sign of things to come.
So an amateur policeman, changed the destiny of history, showing how absurd are the quarrels of mankind, and the militarism that now brings us closer to an age of robotic wars that might extinguish our species. Indeed now we have the same kind of militarism rising in the region towards a III world war. All has changed to remain the same.
So indeed, in this alt-history Japanese Samurais live in LA, but they build the same robots that will kill us all, likely building a Wall of SHAME, against Mexicans as Trump is doing today.
FOUNDATION – a human solution
A different alternative history in a different planet could be ‘Foundation’, a script I tried to make while I was a scriptwriter in eviwood. It was a r=evolution made by a Mule, of 3 people representing the presidents of US, EU and China, an alt.history which if it had been understood and applied in the 1990s, could have indeed made already the world a paradise.
this was the beginning of the script…
Theme. The film recreates a human paradise on Earth based in the science of biohistory, as biohistorians enact a revolution on planet Earth – similar to Asimov’s Foundation – a galactic Empire managed by the equations of Psychohistory.
WE bring back to our present society the concept of a humanist, organic science of history – the classic concept of philosophy of history from Aristotle to Spengler to modern systems sciences – void of idol-ogies, tribal nationalisms and technoutopias that disguise our present world ruled by company-mothers of machines, where humans are increasingly obsolete but fictions, power ideologies, and selfie egotrips censor the solutions to the existential problems of this planet.
Thus the theme of Foundation is the recreation of an utopian world, very different to ours, closer to Avatar, in which a r=evolution happens to create a sustainable planet, where life not the machine becomes again the measure of all things, managed with the laws of organic systems and the equations of bio-history, where politicians become the ‘doctors’ of history that cure our social sicknesses, caused by the overeproduction of lethal metal-memes (weapons, the germs of social organisms), and the idol-ogies that sustain them.
The film dramatizes the r=evolution of biohistorians, explaining how 3 leaders of the present Earth, Miss POTUS, the president of EU and the Chinese President come into contact with the alter ego of ‘Hari Seldon’ (the character which finds those equations in Asimov’s foundation and has used them to become the wealthiest person on Earth TO PAY FOR FOUNDATION), becoming his disciples to make a r=evolution that creates a truly free, efficient, sustainable, organic planet, – reforming the eco(nomic)system and designing by imitation of Nature, a perfect superorganism of history.
Thus the key to the film’s success is:
VISUALLY. The recreation of a world of human beauty and art, similar to the other key utopian novel of XX c. history, ‘the glass-bean game’ of Hesse, Castalia, a place dedicated to art, welfare and beauty. This recreation of a ‘renaissance of the senses’, with life as a model, of organic ‘Gaudi-like’ architecture, British gardening, renaissance sculpture, and Nature at its best. It must create a feeling of a better world where man is still on command – not autonomous robotic cars with solar skins, terminators, ugly machines and polluting industries.
EMOTIONALLY. It must explain in parallel the coming of age, and struggle to take power and r=evolve the world of 3 leaders, Miss POTUS, the Chinese president and a European leader. The 3 come to meet ‘Lao San’, (the alter ego of Seldon, which used the equations of biohistory to become the wealthiest man on EARTH and will pay their way to power and final r=evolution). So the 3 leaders learn the laws of biohistory and take power to implement together the r=evolution.
SCIENTIFICALLY. The fact that there is actually a science of biohistory, the ‘superorganism of mankind in time’, with equations that can both:
-Predict the future based in the cycles of evolution and reproduction of machines and its effects on nations and wars (in the tradition of Vico, the socialist school, Toynbee, Kondratieff, Schumpeter and Spengler)
-And design with organic, physiological laws the economic and political, ‘blood and nervous’ informative networks of the planet to serve mankind is what makes possible Foundation.
Such r=evolution is indeed possible, if the 3 leaders of the world (-50% of people, ¾ GDP) take the minimal 3+3 measures needed to change the 2 physiological networks of the living planet and its superorganisms of history: its blood≈ reproductive≈ eco(nomic)system and its cultural≈political ≈informative ≈legal system… as the science and equations of bio-history are real, do work, and its models of historic superorganisms could indeed create a perfect world.
Thus unlike the ‘economic paradises’ of technoutopian movies, (including the saga of Foundation) the future paradise is based on the organic laws of the fractal Universe, proper of systems sciences and complexity (which Hawking rightly considers the science of the XXI c.).
So the narrative IS THAT OF a successful r=evolution that make History, immortal, controls for the benefit of mankind the machine, pruning the tree of science of its bad fruits and creates the paradise on earth.
which take the work of Toynbee and Spengler – the most remarkable philosophers of history of the XX c. to its completion
The first scene, as brief as possible tries to define the perfect world as a human world and show the fundamental concepts behind it.
The story is the flash back of a revolution, and creation of a perfect world, starting with the ceremony of death of Mr. Lao San, an anonymous Taoist-like character, who published at the turn of the XX c. an obscure encyclopedic work on the waves of history its equations and how to manage them, which only now after death comes into the public eye.
We thus walk as the people come in attendance through the site of Foundation:
a hyperbolic spiraled building, which shows the wave-equation of the 3 ages of the superorganism history, the Paleolithic energetic youth, the mature Neolithic – the age of the goddesses and fertility cults, which foundation recreates with selected technology – and the 3rd informative age of metal, which would bring our collective ‘entropic age of death’ and obsolescence if it is not managed properly…
At the center of the spiral, there is Museum of Human art, gugenheim style, on top of which lays the council of Foundation, where the ceremony is taken place.
On attendance the heptarchy of presidents of the Wor(l)d Union, one for each of the 7 global cultures of mankind, which rule the rainbow planet – Anglo-America; Latin-America, Africa, Islam, Europe Indonesia and Asia… (Through the film, we introduce the physiological laws and design of the perfect world as the background underlying atmosphere for the whole film).
Yet the narrative of the r=evolution and cre(dit)ation of foundation is personalized with flash backs on the life of the 3 ‘ASIMOVIAN MULES’ original leaders of the Heptarchy, the most important of which is Miss Potus.
Miss Potus is talking first. Her voice resounds through the screens and spaces of Foundation, as we follow the arrival of different members.
‘Wo=men are waves, the vital energy that guides the motion of its complementary particles, the in-form-ative male gender, that surround them. Those 2 first quantum states of space-time are born to love, for their properties enhance each other’s role. And so through social love particles and waves evolve together in growing scales of complexity, creating new wholes connected through networks of energy and information, till the emergence of the most perfect biological organism, of which we all human beings are citizens-cells, the superorganism of History, mankind in time, the collective subconscious brain of Gaia, its body, the planet Earth.
The purpose of mankind is thus clear, to create a perfect world in which both scales, that of the human couple and the organism of history can thrive, become immortal and master the future of all of us in an organic, sustainable scientific way’.
We all know today the first sentence of the anonymous book on the waves of history that started the movement of Foundation, but at the time I read that work nobody had yet explained the meaning of the complementary equations between particles and waves, or applied properly the laws of biology to the study of history. And so it strike to my senses that a book history could be written with the equations of quantum physics …
Her discourse is illustrated by a huge screen that recreates the quantum wave-particle complementarity through the scales of the Universe, as we see the duality wave-particle developing the complementary species of reality, from photons and light waves to electronic ‘female waves’ and quark ‘male’ particles, through molecular states of DNA particles and RNA waves, into biological, human and social waves….
As she talks we return to the present age, with TWITrump as leader of the ‘free world’, Jihad, security states, hate memes, robots and terminators on the making…
it also surprised me that the strongest force of the Universe that surrounded us but we couldn’t see was the power of love, the attractive force that through those scales of the fifth dimension of space-time evolved parts into wholes, making them stronger, more efficient, helping them to survive.
We all know today those are truisms of the organic, living Universe but at the time, Love was anathema, life was dying away and kill thy neighbor had become the law of the land…
We all lived in the dark ages of nazionanism, when the superorganism of mankind in time, History, was broken in tribal species, fighting each other in splendid little war for profits, and hate-media reigned supreme, making truth the old dictum of Schopenhauer, ‘all nations ridicule its neighbor, all are right’.
But the virtual noise of our corrupted civilization, was so strong and the propaganda in favor of a world ruled by machines so repetitive that we confused our future with the future of technology and truly thought History was progressing for the best; when the opposite was truth.
Since most people lacking any education, had regressed backwards in time, reducing our only god mankind, into tribal nations and warrying Gods or were eraseheads seeking refuge in fictions, primitive, religious revivalisms and selfie ego-trips, unaware that the clock of extinction was ticking… Since mankind had no credit to create a perfect Human world with the physiological laws of biohistory, and company-mothers of machines used all the resources to evolve the rival species, robots and AI which were displacing human workers from labor and war fields.
CUT TO THE PAST as we enter the screen behind Miss POTUS…
THE TALE OF THE REVOLUTION
The second scene should establish the discovery of bio-history by the triad of future r=evolutionaries, a GOP politician, an EU leader and a party member… how they decide to become the Asimovian MULE and reach power without revealing its intentions to create the perfect world…
FLASH BACK – Miss POTUS, then a young US politico
I was then a politician in the GOP party that dominated the realpolitiks of the age, in a high position on the current administration…
A SPANISH EMPIRE OF LAZY ARISTOCRATIC CONQUISTADORS.
ANOTHER set of solutions to alt.history are those in which a System of inquisitions of war, either abrahamic Islamic like religions or humanist self-centered artistic warrior cultures do conquer the world and fix evolution in a steady state solution that make history immortal.
For example the arab solution passes by the defeat in the kerbela battle of the military Umayyads, usurpers of the Ali caliphate, of those who were genetically related to the prophet and wanted to conquer the whole planet.
Once this is achieved the dynasty of sons of the prophet maintains the planet in a middle age technological stage.
Another solution passes for Recalde taking over Plymouth’s Drake fleet, conquering England and the rest of the world Phillip II didn’t still own and maintaining the world through inquisitions of thought in a social-catholic aristocratic artistic steady state:
So steady state solution before AI develops are humanist solutions that make History immortal.